基于小波多分辨分析的中国工矿事故预测
JOURNAL OF LIAONING TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY(SOCIAL SCIENCE EDITION)(2006)
Abstract
基于小波多分辨分析的预测方法对1950-2004年的中国工矿工伤死亡人数时间序列进行分析建模,对2005年到2010年的工矿工伤死亡人数进行了预测.在建立模型过程中基于简便易行的AIC准则进行模型选择.分析表明预测模型拟合历史数据精度很高,预测结果为政府、企业认识事故规律以及为政府科学监管提供了一定的参考.
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