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Accelerated Event Times with Multiple Thresholds

TECHNOMETRICS(2023)

Los Alamos Natl Lab

Cited 0|Views7
Abstract
In some systems lowering any one of several stress variables limits the extent to which the others are able to accelerate random event times. That is, each stress variable can cap acceleration of the time to failure distribution, independent of the others. For example, repeated electrostatic shocks will set off a high-explosive detonator within the first few attempts only if voltage and energy are both sufficiently large. This article presents a class of time-to-event models with soft thresholds on multiple stressors. These models are fit to data obtained from an experiment performed at Los Alamos National Laboratory to estimate probabilities that detonators will fire from accidental electrostatic discharge. The models include a limited failure component to account for the possibility that a fraction of units is completely unable to produce the event of interest regardless of how long one waits or how many trials are attempted.
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Key words
Accelerated stress model,Limited failure population,Sensitivity testing,Tail quantiles
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要点】:本文提出一类具有多应力软阈值的时间至事件模型,该模型可限制各个应力变量对随机事件时间的加速作用,并应用于估计由意外静电放电引发雷管点火的概率。

方法】:作者使用含有软阈值的多应力时间至事件模型,考虑了部分单元无论等待时间多长或尝试多少次均无法产生目标事件的有限故障成分。

实验】:研究通过在洛斯阿拉莫斯国家实验室进行的实验数据拟合模型,实验旨在估计雷管因意外静电放电而点火的概率,实验数据集名称未在摘要中提及,但结果是模型成功拟合了实验数据。