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Improved Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm Combined with BP Neural Network Model for Prediction of Total Phosphorus Concentration ! in Water Body Using Transmittance Spectral Data

Guo-hao Zhang,Cai-ling Wang, Hong-wei Wang,Tao Yu

SPECTROSCOPY AND SPECTRAL ANALYSIS(2025)

Xian Shiyou Univ | Northwestern Polytech Univ | Chinese Acad Sci

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Abstract
The accurate detection of pollution levels in water bodies using transmission spectrum data and fusion algorithms has become crucial for safeguarding water resources, Inaccurate predictions and detection frequently result from the high dimension of transmission spectrum data and model instability. The Yangtze River water body's total phosphorus concentration content is predicted in this study, and an accurate and environmentally friendly approach is suggested to achieve this goal. In particular. maxi min normalization and mean centering are two preprocessing operations carried out on the Yangtze River's measured water quality transmission spectrum data. These operations remove noise while eradicating differences between different data magnitudes, guaranteeing the consistency and reliability of the data. In addition, to solve the problem of the high dimension the transmission spectrum data, the KPCA method is used to reduce the dimension of the data and extract the features. The KPCA method is used to select the top 6 principal components that represent 99.42% of the information content of the original data for subsequent prediction model training by finding a classification plane in a high dimension space, Then, the foundation of the initial particle swarm algorithm, the particle initialization rule, multiple swarm competition strategy, parameter adaptive update strategy, population diversity guidance strategy, and particle variation mechanism are added to improve the particle warm's capacity for optimization and prevent particles from trapping in the local optimal solution. Additionally, the improved article swarm algorithm optimizes the initialized weights and parameter values in the BP neural network to accelerate the convergence of the network and improve prediction performances, Finally, the total phosphorus content of the samples in the test set was predicted using the IMCPSO-BPNN model. The experimental results showed an R-2 of 0.975 786, an RMSE of 0.002 242, and an MAE of 0.001 612. The IMCPSO-BPNN model suggested in this work has a better fitting effect and better Accuracy in forecasting the total nitrogen concentration in the Yangtze River water body when compared to other models such as The RF model, the BPNN model, and the PSO-BPNN model. It offers fresh concepts and viewpoints for studying and applying predictive modeling using transmission spectrum data and fusion algorithms to protect water resources and environmental management.
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Key words
Transmission spectrum,Improved particle swarm Optimization algorithm,BP Neural network,Kernel principalomponent analysis (KPCA),Total phosphorus concentration
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要点】:本研究提出了一种结合BP神经网络和改进粒子群优化算法的模型,用于基于透射光谱数据预测水体总磷浓度,提高了预测准确性和模型的稳定性。

方法】:研究通过最大最小归一化和均值中心化预处理长江水质的透射光谱数据,利用核主成分分析(KPCA)降维并提取特征,然后将改进的粒子群优化算法应用于BP神经网络权重的初始化和参数优化。

实验】:实验使用KPCA方法选取的前6个主成分进行模型训练,并在测试集上应用改进的粒子群优化BP神经网络(IMCPSO-BPNN)模型进行总磷浓度预测,得到了R-2为0.975786、均方根误差(RMSE)为0.002242、平均绝对误差(MAE)为0.001612的结果,相较于随机森林(RF)、BP神经网络和PSO-BPNN模型,IMCPSO-BPNN模型在预测长江水体总磷浓度上具有更好的拟合效果和准确性。